Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.469974 0.549827 0.639508 0.747776 0.875069 1.020139 1.198251
2024-12-15 0.354721 0.461504 0.595103 0.774956 1.011465 1.312862 1.727727
2024-12-22 0.286486 0.400743 0.554647 0.777982 1.095341 1.532481 2.184419
2024-12-29 0.244612 0.362856 0.531968 0.792861 1.187890 1.767954 2.692333
2025-01-05 0.206187 0.321532 0.495144 0.777395 1.228725 1.929034 3.110982
2025-01-12 0.178273 0.290633 0.467627 0.769177 1.275533 2.101157 3.568731
2025-01-19 0.158307 0.268751 0.450107 0.772635 1.339092 2.305859 4.108641
2025-01-26 0.148318 0.261575 0.454972 0.813146 1.469546 2.639465 4.922976
2025-02-02 0.139209 0.254383 0.458368 0.850757 1.599127 2.988462 5.819540
2025-02-09 0.129426 0.244470 0.455289 0.875485 1.707457 3.312355 6.718243
2025-02-16 0.118790 0.231431 0.444534 0.883671 1.784280 3.585449 7.557340
2025-02-23 0.107934 0.216479 0.428083 0.878031 1.831971 3.806080 8.320637
2025-03-02 0.096413 0.199008 0.405034 0.856973 1.847292 3.967579 8.995825
2025-03-09 0.091334 0.194121 0.406871 0.888643 1.980614 4.401536 10.361304
2025-03-16 0.084260 0.184042 0.396491 0.892124 2.051691 4.708163 11.482162
2025-03-23 0.079094 0.177403 0.392548 0.909262 2.156162 5.105838 12.891860
2025-03-30 0.071837 0.165139 0.374603 0.891448 2.175167 5.304266 13.835212
2025-04-06 0.065972 0.155331 0.360988 0.881983 2.213000 5.553879 14.955589
2025-04-13 0.061586 0.148454 0.353321 0.885966 2.285124 5.900279 16.398480
2025-04-20 0.060139 0.148494 0.362149 0.932630 2.474625 6.579444 18.892195
2025-04-27 0.058515 0.147886 0.369297 0.975964 2.661957 7.282316 21.586720
2025-05-04 0.056173 0.145158 0.370775 1.004459 2.813087 7.909711 24.176416
2025-05-11 0.053067 0.140056 0.365525 1.013894 2.912062 8.405446 26.457041